Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 54.846830 62.625483 70.657917 79.538357 89.048434 98.896666 109.835340
2025-04-27 43.962211 55.103353 67.202579 81.178844 96.745897 113.431556 132.550097
2025-05-04 36.315710 49.070706 63.477498 80.665596 100.344852 121.932108 147.169790
2025-05-11 30.338356 44.048414 60.109765 79.828772 102.942983 128.788001 159.496759
2025-05-18 26.330046 40.827198 58.372134 80.446449 106.829536 136.787554 172.840394
2025-05-25 22.518095 37.390718 55.993884 79.965513 109.148912 142.762579 183.686537
2025-06-01 19.653461 34.850777 54.455919 80.268469 112.204721 149.442296 195.224495
2025-06-08 16.707720 31.868977 52.090958 79.319521 113.564437 153.983409 204.156471
2025-06-15 14.989880 30.422474 51.583361 80.592531 117.547542 161.575591 216.628196
2025-06-22 13.524899 29.182496 51.231686 81.970667 121.592013 169.197716 229.112491
2025-06-29 11.559616 26.955202 49.360489 81.229247 122.875220 173.403734 237.470595
2025-07-06 9.484394 24.286950 46.672666 79.239881 122.444748 175.418586 243.118899
2025-07-13 8.966347 24.186471 47.686373 82.280706 128.531356 185.542583 258.692335
2025-07-20 8.183188 23.534032 47.835649 84.110450 133.044701 193.733907 271.955845
2025-07-27 6.929107 21.857514 46.332628 83.562055 134.388434 197.934374 280.323980
2025-08-03 5.766702 20.167557 44.683610 82.711264 135.261138 201.493812 287.871470
2025-08-10 5.031574 19.212914 44.113544 83.341456 138.064429 207.465089 298.379639
2025-08-17 4.184655 17.866661 42.816840 82.850416 139.313161 211.431770 306.388849
2025-08-24 3.569529 16.918647 42.102875 83.159783 141.608939 216.713325 316.022927
2025-08-31 2.850170 15.549676 40.577379 82.190678 142.107756 219.654367 322.714135
2025-09-07 2.513092 15.086428 40.578237 83.490709 145.712675 226.597289 334.424430
2025-09-14 2.222850 14.687423 40.661301 84.897901 149.459202 233.726392 346.380862
2025-09-21 1.738022 13.570282 39.371189 84.140874 150.154646 236.865811 353.297281